Market Forecast

According to reports, prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are currently negotiating to raise funds at an estimated valuation of around $20 billion. This article examines the drivers behind the industry's growth, the competitive dynamics between these two major platforms, regulatory risks, and future development trends.

Global markets were notably driven by energy price shocks and geopolitical risks over the past week. Escalating tensions in the Middle East propelled oil prices upward, with WTI surging more than 25% for the week. As a result, the market entered a risk-off phase, prompting BTC, ETH, and US equities to pull back simultaneously. From a macro standpoint, although rising oil prices are unlikely to trigger a recession directly, they could elevate inflation and delay interest rate cuts in the coming months. On-chain activity saw DEX trading volumes remain high, with liquidity further concentrating in top protocols. The total stablecoin market cap climbed to around $330 billion, with USDC emerging as the main source of incremental capital. In the derivatives market, funding rates stayed predominantly negative and option volatility increased, reflecting continued vigilance toward tail risks. Overall, the market is navigating a stage of macro risk repricing and liquidity reallocation. Looking ahead to next week, atten

Over the past week, global markets have been primarily driven by energy shocks and geopolitical risks. WTI crude rose more than 4%, with higher oil prices reinforcing inflation expectations and further constraining the scope for rate cuts. The Dollar Index moved back above 100, while Treasury yields climbed in tandem. Risk assets broadly came under pressure, yet the crypto market showed notable resilience. Consecutive net inflows into BTC ETFs indicate continued institutional accumulation during the pullback. On-chain, stablecoin supply continued to expand, with liquidity increasingly concentrated in leading protocols. Lending and LST sectors also rebounded, reflecting a marginal recovery in risk appetite. In derivatives markets, funding rates remained largely negative while implied volatility declined, suggesting market sentiment is gradually recovering from extreme caution. Looking ahead, markets will focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision and policy signals from major central banks, which will directly sh

Polymarket is a blockchain-based decentralized prediction market platform where users express views on future events by trading “yes” or “no” outcome shares, with prices commonly interpreted as implied market probabilities. Through smart contracts and stablecoin settlement, Polymarket enables a permissionless, non-custodial, and transparent mechanism for trading information, and is widely regarded as an important part of the emerging InfoFi landscape.

A suspected ShapeShift founder has acquired $112 million in ETH, sparking considerable interest across the market. This article offers an in-depth examination of the reasons behind Ethereum’s underperformance relative to Bitcoin and evaluates whether ETH is poised to enter a catch-up phase.

CryptoQuant's latest analysis indicates that Bitcoin encounters significant resistance between $75,000 and $85,000. This article provides a comprehensive assessment of BTC price movements and future outlook, drawing on on-chain data, derivatives market structure, and broader macroeconomic factors.

This week, the crypto market remained range-bound amid simultaneous macro and sentiment-driven pressures. Expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike triggered a pullback in global risk assets, while tighter liquidity weighed on market risk appetite. At the same time, rumors surrounding a potential change in the FED chair and ongoing policy uncertainty added to market caution regarding the future rate path. Despite this backdrop, BTC posted a notable rebound on Wednesday, briefly climbing back to around $93,000, showing clear signs of short-term recovery. Technically, downside support remains resilient, and the market has entered a news-driven consolidation phase.

According to Gate Research, the crypto market experienced a choppy recovery this week under shifting macro sentiment. As retail data weakened and several Fed officials delivered dovish signals, rate-cut expectations strengthened, with the probability of a December cut rising to 84.9%. Risk assets saw a moderate improvement in sentiment. After a continuous pullback, Bitcoin found strong buying interest near $80,000 and rebounded to around $88,000, lifting major altcoins as well. However, capital flows remain cautious, ETF inflows are limited, and the broader market still reflects a weak rebound structure.

An in-depth analysis of the resurgence of crypto presales in 2025, exploring the evolution from early participation narratives to structured financing, examining why capital is refocusing on early-stage projects, and revealing how presale models are reshaping the crypto fundraising landscape through case studies like Plasma and MegaETH, balancing compliance and innovation.

According to Gate Research, Bitcoin rebounded to around $106,000 this week after briefly dipping below $100,000, driven by easing concerns over the U.S. government shutdown and improving risk appetite. While a preliminary MACD bullish crossover has formed, both trading volume and capital inflows remain weak, indicating the uptrend is not yet established. Ethereum continues to fluctuate between $3,400 and $3,650 with limited rebound momentum. Overall, market sentiment remains cautious, and the recent rebound appears to be a technical correction rather than the start of a new bullish phase.

Weekly Report Date: November 3, 2025. Please note that all opinions and information provided are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Strategy Recommendation: BTC Reverse Bullish Calendar Spread. For a limited time, option fee discounts are available: https://www.gate.com/zh/campaigns/3109

Gate Research reported that Bitcoin fell below $100,000 this week for the first time since June, hitting a low of $99,932 and breaking below its 200-day moving average, marking the second-largest single-day drop of the year.

Gate Research noted that BTC has recently been consolidating between $108,000 and $115,000, with short-term moving averages converging and market direction remaining uncertain. If the price holds above $107,000, the range-bound movement may continue; a breakout above $115,000 with rising volume could open the door to a new upward leg. ETH has been fluctuating between $3,850 and $4,250, showing weaker momentum, but a breakout above $4,100–$4,200 could reignite its uptrend. Overall, the market continues to oscillate within key ranges, while liquidity conditions remain cautious.

Weekly Report Date: October 27, 2025; Important Notice: The opinions and information herein are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice for any individual; Strategy Recommendation: BTC Bullish Calendar Spread.

Gate Research Institute stated that BTC is currently consolidating at low levels within the $108,000–$109,000 range, lacking a clear short-term direction. ETH is fluctuating between $3,850–$4,050, with selling pressure still present but the decline narrower than in previous periods.